Six points on a circle are given. Four different chords joining pairs of the six points are selected at random. What is the probability that the four chords form the sides of a convex quadrilateral ?
Let the six points 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
All convex quadrilateral are all selection(4 Numbers) in ascending order from the set 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
$$\rm{convex~quadrilateral } = \bordermatrix{Points& 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 & 6 \cr
1. &1 &2 &3 &4 & & \cr
2. &1 &2 &3 & &5 & \cr
3. &1 &2 &3 & & &6 \cr
4. &1 &2 & &4 &5 & \cr
5. &1 &2 & &4 & &6 \cr
6. &1 &2 & & &5 &6 \cr
7. &1 & &3 &4 &5 & \cr
8. &1 & &3 &4 & &6 \cr
9. &1 & &3 & &5 &6 \cr
10.&1 & & &4 &5 &6 \cr
11.& &2 &3 &4 &5 & \cr
12.& &2 &3 &4 & &6 \cr
13.& &2 &3 & &5 &6 \cr
14.& &2 & &4 &5 &6 \cr
15.& & &3 &4 &5 &6 \cr} = \binom64$$
Point-connections:
$$\small{\text{$
\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|}
\hline
&1&2&3&4&5&6 \\
\hline
1&x&1\Rightarrow2&1\Rightarrow3&1\Rightarrow4&1\Rightarrow5&1\Rightarrow6 \\
2& &x&2\Rightarrow3&2\Rightarrow4&2\Rightarrow5&2\Rightarrow6 \\
3& & &x&3\Rightarrow4&3\Rightarrow5&3\Rightarrow6 \\
4& & & &x&4\Rightarrow5&4\Rightarrow6 \\
5& & & & &x&5\Rightarrow6 \\
6& & & & & &x \\
\hline
\end{array}
$}} = \binom62=15$$
Four chords from 15 pont-connections
$$=\binom{\binom62}{4}=\binom{15}{4}$$
the probability that the four chords form the sides of a convex quadrilateral
$$\small{\text{$
\begin{array}{rcl}
&=&\dfrac{\binom64}{\binom{15}{4}}
=\dfrac{ \dfrac{6!}{4!\cdot(6-4)!} }{ \dfrac{15!}{4!\cdot(15-4)!} }
=\dfrac{6!}{2!} \cdot \dfrac{11!}{15!}
=\dfrac{3\cdot 4\cdot 5\cdot 6}{ 12\cdot 13 \cdot 14 \cdot 15}
=\dfrac{36}{3276}
=0.01098901099
\end{array}
$}}$$
.