In the Small State Lottery,
three white balls are drawn at random from twenty balls labled 1-20 and
a blue Superball is drawn from ten balls labeled 21-30.
To win a prize you must match at least two of the white balls or match the blue Superball.
If you buy a ticket what is the probability that you would win a prize?
Let W be the probability of choosing 2 white balls out of 20 or 3 white balls out of 20 .
Let ¯Wbe not W.
Let B be the probability of choosing one blue ball out of 10.
Let ¯B be not B
W=(32)(171)+(33)(170)(203)=13285¯W=1−W=1−13285=272285B=(11)(90)(101)=110¯B=1−B=1−110=910
B¯B110910WW∩BW∩¯B1328513285×11013285×910¯W¯W∩B¯W∩¯B272285272285×110272285×910
The probability of not a prize is
¯W∩¯B=272285×910
The probability of a prize is
1−¯W∩¯B=1−(272285×910)=285⋅10−9⋅272285⋅10=4022850=67⋅6475⋅6=67475=0.14105263158
