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 #1
avatar+862 
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We can solve this problem by considering the two ways to win and summing their probabilities:

 

Matching at least two white balls:

 

Favorable outcomes: We need to calculate the number of winning tickets where we match at least two of the chosen white balls.

 

Overcounting: We initially consider all possibilities where we pick three white balls (220 ways) and any red ball (8 ways). However, this overcounts tickets where we match all three white balls (counted three times for each red ball).

 

Correcting the overcount: There are 220 ways to pick three white balls and only 1 way to pick the red ball (doesn't matter which) for a total of 220 tickets where we match all three white balls. Subtracting this from the overcount gives us the actual number of winning tickets with at least two white ball matches.

 

Matching the red SuperBall:

 

Favorable outcomes: Here, we can pick any three white balls (220 ways) as long as they don't match the chosen red SuperBall (8 ways).

 

Calculations:

 

Matching at least two white balls:

 

Total outcomes (overcounted): 220 (white balls) * 8 (red balls) = 1760

 

Overcounted matches (all three white balls): 220 (white balls) * 1 (red ball) = 220

 

Corrected favorable outcomes: 1760 (total) - 220 (overcounted) = 1540

 

Matching the red SuperBall:

 

Favorable outcomes: 220 (white balls) * 8 (red balls that don't match) = 1760

 

Total Probability:

 

We win if either of these scenarios occurs. So, the total probability is the sum of the probabilities of each scenario:

 

Probability (matching at least two white balls): 1540 favorable outcomes / (12C3 * 8) total outcomes = 1540 / (220 * 8) = 44 / 248

 

Probability (matching the red SuperBall): 1760 favorable outcomes / (12C3 * 8) total outcomes = 1760 / (220 * 8) = 11 / 31

 

Total Probability (winning the SuperLottery):

 

(44 / 248) + (11 / 31) = 33/62.

 

Therefore, the probability that you win a super prize is 33/62.

14.05.2024
 #1
avatar+862 
0

There are two events we need to consider:

 

Event 1: Drawing an even number first.

 

There are 4 colors in the deck.

 

Each color has one even number (2, 4, or 6).

 

So, there are 4 * 3 = 12 cards that satisfy this condition (even number, any color).

 

Event 2: Drawing a multiple of 3 after drawing an even number (without replacement).

 

After drawing the first card, there are only 27 cards remaining.

 

There are 3 multiples of 3 left (3 and 6, since one even number - 6 - is already drawn).

 

However, since Grok isn't replacing the first card, there are only 2 colors left that have multiples of 3 (red and blue, as the even number 6 was likely green or yellow).

 

Therefore, there are 2 * 1 = 2 cards that satisfy this condition (multiple of 3, remaining colors).

 

Total Favorable Cases:

 

To get the probability, we need the number of favorable cases (both events happening) divided by the total number of possible cases (drawing any two cards).

 

Favorable cases: 12 (Event 1) * 2 (Event 2) = 24

 

Total possible cases: There are 28 cards total (7 numbers * 4 colors), and we draw 2 without replacement. So, the total number of possible choices is 28C2 (28 choose 2) which is 28 * 27 / (2 * 1) = 378

 

Probability:

 

Therefore, the probability that Professor Grok draws an even number first, followed by a multiple of 3 (without replacement), is:

 

Probability = Favorable Cases / Total Possible Cases Probability = 24 / 378

 

Simplifying the fraction:

 

Both the numerator (24) and denominator (378) have a common divisor of 6. We can simplify:

 

Probability = (24 / 6) / (378 / 6) Probability = 4 / 63

 

So, the probability is 4/63.

06.05.2024