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Two teams A and B play a series of games until one team wins four games. We assume that the games are played independently and that the probability that A wins any game is p. What is the probability that the series lasts exactly five games?

 Feb 28, 2020
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P[5 games]=P[5 games | A wins]+P[5 games | B wins]

 

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 Feb 28, 2020

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